CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6150351aed4b65eacc00227e26f143caad87479f9268a82997f4033576b02fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 72c | 1,692$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 69c | 1,221$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 35c | 741.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 41c | 618.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.14 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Under | 77c | 519.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 27c | 514.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 23c | 512.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 28c | 492.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 41c | 465.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 70c | 325.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 31c | 299.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 287.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 283.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Under | 58c | 228.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 13c | 210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…ebd1backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…2d6bbacked Over | 52c | 95.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 94.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 39c | 83.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 59c | 82.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…7327backed Under | 74c | 73.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 43c | 70.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 39c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 59c | 28.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 67c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 60c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Under | 74c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.