TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte50c16,250$8,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,124.7741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Monte50c11,838$5,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00033343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Monte49c8,374$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.4836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Team Falcons51c7,463$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.5328960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Monte50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons54c3,773$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.313,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Monte49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Team Falcons53c2,848$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.6218061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons59c2,200$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9139157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Monte49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.997454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Team Falcons51c1,750$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.4835236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons63c1,630$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Monte49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9920249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Monte47c1,481$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.885251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Team Falcons66c1,205$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.728056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Team Falcons52c1,150$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.685244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte44c1,118$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.692,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Monte50c1,113$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6419346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Team Falcons51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons51c962.59$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.6741069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Monte48c888$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.241,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Team Falcons51c770.59$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.596256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Monte43c702.67$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8525747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Team Falcons51c692.99$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5718261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29438157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Monte44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2562…eb9cbacked Team Falcons55c590$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Team Falcons60c590$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2369266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Monte50c507.61$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.819642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Monte37c489.32$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4322838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Monte48c433.8$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1636450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Monte50c361.52$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Monte49c310$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.226245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Monte49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14712551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Monte48c286.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5227744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons49c283.32$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.51,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Falcons50c277.76$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8831451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons53c262.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0929757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Team Falcons50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11041938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons50c211.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.98246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons51c208.37$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.133156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Monte44c204.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons73c204.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.771,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons50c203.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Monte50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Monte51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Team Falcons51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0839847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Falcons52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Team Falcons64c189.34$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1612027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Team Falcons50c174.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.518043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Monte39c141.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.722,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Monte34c134.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.021,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Monte42c129.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5532561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte47c127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.192,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Team Falcons76c126.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.261855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Team Falcons52c124.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2114544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Team Falcons50c122.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2517756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Team Falcons50c122.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2510254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Team Falcons55c114.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8327452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Falcons50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5729052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Monte28c111.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.782,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Team Falcons50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Team Falcons52c106.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda11…25c3backed Monte49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Monte49c98.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6850056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b51…9ea6backed Team Falcons64c90.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2919053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Team Falcons58c87.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9312446.8%58 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Monte46c84.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.794951%25 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Team Falcons50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4026443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Monte51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.788858%51 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5629…50dabacked Team Falcons77c76.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Team Falcons52c69.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8225446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons68c68.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9142845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons66c65.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5132357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Team Falcons54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.112642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Falcons50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed Team Falcons49c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.618145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52a…845abacked Team Falcons68c58.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Monte53c56.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Team Falcons53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.69737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked Team Falcons46c48.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.283745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Team Falcons51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1414851.4%76 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee8…432ebacked Team Falcons59c42.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…8a6dbacked Team Falcons68c41.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Team Falcons51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Team Falcons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…1ee0backed Team Falcons65c39.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Monte48c39.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7926341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Team Falcons50c38.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4225650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Team Falcons52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7147146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.