TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Monte19c10,788$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.7930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons74c7,217$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.893,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte30c6,860$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.441,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte31c5,548$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.9788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte30c5,518$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.781,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Monte32c5,338$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7813937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons63c4,813$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.153,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons49c4,118$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.8737646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons68c3,898$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.3933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Monte28c3,508$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.0561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Team Falcons70c3,405$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02242651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons66c2,558$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons53c2,475$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.2538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Monte12c2,360$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28043237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Monte30c2,170$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.31,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons71c2,014$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.544,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Team Falcons68c1,968$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.1615838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons67c1,888$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.531,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Monte32c1,661$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.0453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Monte1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte45c1,390$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.81,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte46c1,302$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte32c1,214$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.611,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Monte13c1,167$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte26c1,136$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.034,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte30c1,131$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.992,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons78c1,080$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.546,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Monte29c1,059$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte26c1,056$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.265,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Monte29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Monte31c999.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons78c959.76$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.72,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Monte20c959.03$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.871,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte44c930.12$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.062,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Monte25c856.37$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21220041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Monte12c855.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Monte8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6441716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte15c799.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11724942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte20c796.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.945,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Team Falcons64c793.19$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.241,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Team Falcons80c753.34$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3440048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Monte52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons75c746.59$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9441069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Monte25c724.39$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.776030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Team Falcons69c700.08$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.088138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Team Falcons78c699.99$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1548664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Team Falcons73c666.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9711871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Team Falcons71c617.59$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8834156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Monte11c560.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Monte13c525.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte50c508.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked Team Falcons66c506.09$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.072352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Team Falcons67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Monte31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Team Falcons72c463.16$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6813065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Monte22c456.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Monte34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Monte42c435.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.952,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Monte29c407.07$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte23c405.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Monte25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Monte26c400$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10360838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Monte15c387.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9410133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Monte19c381.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0613142%55 W · 76 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Falcons65c375.38$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Monte8c351$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7631253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Monte9c306.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6721519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Monte16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Monte6c279$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0448319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Monte24c275.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0640253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33c…0f39backed Team Falcons78c252.56$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.561866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Monte22c244.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9822838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Monte21c240.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.514,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons54c224.61$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Monte19c219.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.452,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Monte31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Team Falcons48c207.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.149153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte22c207.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Monte27c185.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked Monte30c174.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.264040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons71c170$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.939258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte37c169.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.223,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Team Falcons54c168.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6714549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed Monte15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257622.4%17 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Falcons78c159.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0935466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Monte13c155.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.425416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Team Falcons65c153.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2517756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Team Falcons66c152.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5910254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Team Falcons49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Team Falcons73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4158254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Monte19c146.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5713540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte9c139$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc995…5e2ebacked Team Falcons72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte32c136.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7384037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Team Falcons79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5821053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Team Falcons70c124.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5838456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons78c121.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.