TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1da…dffb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.6
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$104.35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$60.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.51
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$153.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$269.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$195.86
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.83
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$261.99
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$260.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.19
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$57.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$231.21
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$174.09
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$312
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$111.37
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$270.11
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$318
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$184.8
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+170.3%+$504
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+222.2%+$717.07
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$193.5
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$551
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+133.3%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$155
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.