TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ46c39,005$18,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,048.4812353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed M8045c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.0433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed M8028c8,080$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,817.8123839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8055c8,068$4,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.651,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked M8046c7,944$3,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.2459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed MOUZ1c5,954$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.186654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked MOUZ37c5,560$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.4363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.138358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed M8028c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60011439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8063c4,958$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.43,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked M8052c4,737$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.9341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked M8060c4,550$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.543,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked M8062c4,300$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.52,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7093…0632backed MOUZ49c3,926$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed MOUZ57c3,500$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.3114763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8049c3,283$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.44,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ56c2,970$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.222,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ29c2,936$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.3849941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked MOUZ41c2,182$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed MOUZ52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0406036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8052c1,966$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.276,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed M8029c1,911$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed MOUZ21c1,811$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2616461.6%101 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed M8029c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.144546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ62c1,400$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.51,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8049c1,396$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.781,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked MOUZ46c1,377$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.442626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked M8040c1,314$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.828657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed M8046c1,123$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ34c1,101$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.51,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ54c1,063$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.021,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed M8053c1,032$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5538835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ20c1,006$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ73c890.41$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed M8027c890.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed MOUZ11c845.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ72c843.8$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.5346149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ61c825.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed MOUZ73c821.92$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed M8027c821.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed M8028c799.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.9953444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed MOUZ40c779.81$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4140048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ24c770.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ18c750$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8028c750$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ70c749.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9918056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked M8069c721.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed MOUZ8c708.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ49c681.92$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed M8053c651.51$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0167372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked MOUZ21c600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12821741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed MOUZ21c600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12814545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed MOUZ40c556.85$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed MOUZ67c550$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36635861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked MOUZ56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed MOUZ59c507.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed MOUZ53c500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.418442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed M8028c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed M8042c447.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7629052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed M8067c444.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9323861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed MOUZ18c406$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed MOUZ18c406$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6464439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed MOUZ11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442540%10 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+215.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed M8055c396.05$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8056c379.9$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.771,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed M8053c375.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed M8056c359.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4720059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3a…90a4backed M8028c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed M8028c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1431654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MOUZ54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked MOUZ58c342.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed MOUZ8c341.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.294010%4 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed MOUZ15c320$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.245240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MOUZ31c315.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9714037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ33c306.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.754732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed M8028c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed MOUZ16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked MOUZ17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked MOUZ11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ55c290.28$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed MOUZ71c285.35$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.626368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ42c279.42$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.174,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ40c252.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.971,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed M8028c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed MOUZ48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed M8055c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ46c249.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed MOUZ44c244$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1710133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked MOUZ56c233.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6984037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x525d…1f1bbacked MOUZ61c231.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ50c219.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.91,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ46c216$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed M8056c209.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.59533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed MOUZ47c209.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5935953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked M8049c204.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.354040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked M8049c200.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9940140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed MOUZ16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3236845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked M8075c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.