CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a34909011c1a7369cda3f6d1f1321a3acb5b6305702253a1ca85f4c8d31d09c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 61c | 4,964$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.82 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 39c | 3,220$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 76c | 1,622$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 44c | 904.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.11 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 80c | 605.31$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Under | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 507.3$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 20c | 406$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Under | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 257.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 47c | 118.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 39c | 114.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 30c | 109.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Over | 62c | 105.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 66c | 104.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 65c | 64.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 53c | 55.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 38c | 53.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed Under | 44c | 39.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 41c | 35.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 67c | 29.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Over | 68c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 43c | 26.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 61c | 18.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 58c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2b07backed Under | 71c | 15.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.