TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof M80, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed M8028c30,290$8,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,359.2223839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8026c21,483$5,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.3641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed M8036c15,555$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.1833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed MOUZ73c12,242$8,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.7813244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8016c11,300$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.991,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8018c10,835$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.612,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c5…8813backed MOUZ74c10,181$7,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked MOUZ72c9,081$6,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.317853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked MOUZ72c7,747$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.088258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ65c7,738$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.4112353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ67c7,279$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.1937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ66c7,175$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.3622354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked M8027c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ72c6,935$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.6333359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ72c6,500$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82084658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ65c6,435$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.3810560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ75c5,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37566551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8016c5,000$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.991,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked MOUZ73c4,745$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked M8034c4,452$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.772944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed M8025c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed M8027c3,919$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.073636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed M8028c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked MOUZ64c3,336$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.887447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ74c3,112$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.1221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed M8030c3,002$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8029c3,002$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.591,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8016c3,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5117540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed M8022c3,000$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.7155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MOUZ73c2,471$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.5548350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ79c2,405$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.931,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ80c2,183$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.866,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8021c2,179$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.591,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ73c2,056$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.622,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8027c2,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.3778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed M8026c1,958$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50542638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked MOUZ74c1,915$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8422645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ72c1,900$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9919660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed M8028c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ72c1,437$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.154,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed MOUZ73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.864856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed M8037c1,367$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked MOUZ73c1,336$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed M804c1,323$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ71c1,260$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed MOUZ73c1,200$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32817162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed M8027c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32425145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked M8025c1,200$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.172,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed M8035c1,104$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5518636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed MOUZ74c1,100$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28612253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked MOUZ73c1,094$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4717764.4%114 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked M8028c1,075$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.158149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8028c1,070$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.65,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed M8033c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed M8027c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed M8034c989.99$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.628943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ73c974.62$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MOUZ74c957.97$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked M8027c925.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed M8010c874.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4420949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…7f29backed M8034c803.51$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9320458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked MOUZ74c667.39$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.528463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked M8028c664.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed MOUZ75c663.13$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9635953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked M8031c638.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.052650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ65c615$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ67c594.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42a…dadebacked MOUZ80c564.05$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.053571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked M8013c563.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.681,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed M8027c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed M8029c551.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0124940.6%101 W · 148 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed M8027c550$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.515740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed MOUZ73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9564554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked M8021c541.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked M8027c538.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.298854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked M8029c518.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked MOUZ77c503.47$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.811148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed M8024c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13556941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed M8027c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed MOUZ73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ64c479.52$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.637,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked M8033c460$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.87736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb04f…c3a4backed M8029c451.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked M8017c439.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.268842%37 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed M8023c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ72c420.01$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.61,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked M8024c416.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed MOUZ66c416.12$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.996550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ63c413.38$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.957441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed M8034c406.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed M8014c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed MOUZ72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11214255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.