CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9de3849c85f887abb1444a9049cea599ebed61c830b62ab0ff4c1ec499d391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of MOUZ, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 45c | 13,552$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,140.78 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed M80 | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 4,982$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.72 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.98 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 55c | 3,001$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.3 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked M80 | 55c | 2,631$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.09 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed M80 | 55c | 2,303$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.39 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed M80 | 55c | 2,104$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.64 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed M80 | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed M80 | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed M80 | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,171$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed M80 | 61c | 1,018$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.11 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed M80 | 55c | 1,014$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.1 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed M80 | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed M80 | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked M80 | 49c | 896.75$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.34 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked M80 | 31c | 869.3$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed M80 | 54c | 848.52$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed MOUZ | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed M80 | 28c | 520.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked M80 | 55c | 505.45$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…6fc2backed M80 | 26c | 416.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed MOUZ | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed M80 | 47c | 348.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed M80 | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed M80 | 49c | 333$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked MOUZ | 72c | 308.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed M80 | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked M80 | 55c | 257.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked M80 | 54c | 224.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed MOUZ | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed M80 | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed M80 | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed M80 | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed M80 | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…1456backed MOUZ | 75c | 133.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked M80 | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed MOUZ | 58c | 128$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed MOUZ | 46c | 110.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed MOUZ | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked M80 | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed MOUZ | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed M80 | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed M80 | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed M80 | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…cde3backed MOUZ | 62c | 55.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MOUZ | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed M80 | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked MOUZ | 73c | 41.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed MOUZ | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked MOUZ | 52c | 38.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed MOUZ | 67c | 37.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 34c | 36.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…7befbacked M80 | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…577dbacked M80 | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed MOUZ | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed M80 | 55c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed MOUZ | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed M80 | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed M80 | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed M80 | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…6b0dbacked M80 | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…45aabacked M80 | 55c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed MOUZ | 58c | 23.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed MOUZ | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked MOUZ | 61c | 19.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked M80 | 72c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed M80 | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.