Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475bbf414a59ed25bfc982424bc82d38725edb5772db961c82c9d46fe0f3f742

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Hereticsof Team Heretics, Eternal Fire
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire	54c	5,719$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.73	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics	54c	3,296$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.4	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics	62c	2,295$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.79	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire	54c	2,131$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Eternal Fire	51c	1,955$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Eternal Fire	40c	1,574$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.53	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Team Heretics	54c	1,290$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.98	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics	47c	1,104$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.81	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Eternal Fire	33c	900$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Team Heretics	57c	785.28$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.77	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics	68c	570.92$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.13	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire	49c	478.84$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.97	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Team Heretics	62c	476.94$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.24	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Heretics	63c	434.91$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.57	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Eternal Fire	49c	408.47$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire	29c	392.9$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.62	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Eternal Fire	41c	366.83$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.68	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked Team Heretics	50c	356.18$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.09	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+108.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire	46c	299.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Eternal Fire	41c	299.92$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.62	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Team Heretics	38c	293.85$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.85	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Eternal Fire	37c	268.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1f…f0e3backed Eternal Fire	50c	260$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	32cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Eternal Fire	55c	249.51$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.51	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Eternal Fire	38c	232.56$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.07	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Team Heretics	54c	212.96$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.96	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Team Heretics	41c	210$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.87	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Eternal Fire	58c	205.81$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.39	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Team Heretics	28c	191.67$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.47	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Team Heretics	41c	189.32$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.59	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Heretics	56c	176.82$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.8	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics	61c	170.21$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.66	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Team Heretics	43c	163.72$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.72	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+8.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics	58c	150.71$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.85	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Team Heretics	66c	150.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.39	214	54.2%116 W · 98 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire	38c	137.26$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Team Heretics	61c	129$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.31	230	55.7%128 W · 102 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Heretics	58c	125.04$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Team Heretics	30c	124$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Heretics	42c	117.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.81	234	63.7%149 W · 85 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Eternal Fire	40c	111.81$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	353	31.2%110 W · 243 L	-29.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire	56c	103.67$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Eternal Fire	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6201…622cbacked Team Heretics	54c	92.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Eternal Fire	35c	90$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	320	47.8%153 W · 167 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Heretics	66c	84.53$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.74	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Eternal Fire	54c	83.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics	30c	78.8$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.09	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire	45c	77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.03	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Team Heretics	41c	74.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.04	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Heretics	55c	73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Eternal Fire	71c	69.01$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Eternal Fire	39c	66.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Team Heretics	42c	58.4$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.12	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Heretics	62c	58$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Eternal Fire	62c	54.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.73	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Eternal Fire	38c	53.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire	43c	52.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Eternal Fire	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Team Heretics	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Eternal Fire	37c	48.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	212	40.1%85 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Eternal Fire	49c	41.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed Eternal Fire	53c	37.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Heretics	52c	36.15$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	173	32.4%56 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Team Heretics	54c	35.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Eternal Fire	65c	32.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Team Heretics	62c	30.72$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.72	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…a327backed Team Heretics	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Eternal Fire	68c	27.94$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	321	52.6%169 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed36…cd18backed Eternal Fire	68c	27.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Team Heretics	66c	27.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Team Heretics	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Eternal Fire	79c	12.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event