Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a1cbdb45aa48155533cfe24aa542e167021dcbbb1f323c591940a5eb3ce115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Team Heretics, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 53c | 1,905$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.41 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 1,460$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.69 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics | 58c | 1,119$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.94 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 931.48$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 927.04$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Heretics | 40c | 615.68$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.86 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Heretics | 43c | 587.34$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 513.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 438.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 380.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 300.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics | 55c | 257.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Team Heretics | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Team Heretics | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 233.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 201.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 176.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 172.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 172$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics | 32c | 128.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…5531backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 123.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Team Heretics | 28c | 106.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 46c | 104.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Heretics | 59c | 97.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 74.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 70.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Heretics | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 63.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…824fbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 62.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 58.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 54.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Team Heretics | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 47.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…20e3backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 43.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 40.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Heretics | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Heretics | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 29.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 27.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 27.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…caa8backed Team Heretics | 38c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Heretics | 63c | 25.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…b534backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 19.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…f499backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.