TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f2c…824f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 62 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.15
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.21
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.75
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$23.01
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$146.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.04
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.66
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$27.01
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$15.68
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.