TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Natus Vincere, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere16c7,180$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.7310024%24 W · 76 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Natus Vincere6c5,039$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1969841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4991…d4dcbacked Natus Vincere2c4,250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+305.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Natus Vincere9c3,435$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Natus Vincere4c2,520$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Natus Vincere12c2,127$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.011,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere9c2,067$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18325236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere8c1,788$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.053,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere18c1,666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.822,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Natus Vincere14c1,533$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3838154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Natus Vincere13c1,357$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8797527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Natus Vincere8c1,310$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8167853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere5c1,050$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15075942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Movistar KOI66c909.32$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3254246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Movistar KOI70c857.95$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere9c830$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.748338.7%187 W · 296 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere41c804$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4229846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere22c747.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.521,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked Natus Vincere6c743.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere15c687$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7966942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere35c642.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.512,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere19c621.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.012,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Movistar KOI76c574.77$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.471,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere31c565$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.852,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed Natus Vincere16c561$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.416347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere5c536.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Natus Vincere17c525.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere15c520.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere34c509.31$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.741,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Movistar KOI68c505.19$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5767457.3%386 W · 288 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Natus Vincere24c500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Movistar KOI66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Natus Vincere46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23039447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere33c479.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.961,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Movistar KOI65c425.37$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6586943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere15c417.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.391,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Natus Vincere15c389.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.026243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere15c343.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.132,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Natus Vincere6c323.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Movistar KOI63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Movistar KOI68c307.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7945366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Movistar KOI69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9338659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Natus Vincere15c266.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Movistar KOI74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6542852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere14c212$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Natus Vincere30c205.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.431,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Movistar KOI66c202.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Natus Vincere33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6660053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10c…cc34backed Natus Vincere17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Natus Vincere8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Movistar KOI80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2549253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Movistar KOI80c115.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1141468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Movistar KOI77c112.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.357060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Natus Vincere34c108$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7224445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Movistar KOI76c105$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.851,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Natus Vincere19c104.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7733142%139 W · 192 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Movistar KOI66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345955.9%33 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Movistar KOI44c89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7933737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere15c88.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Movistar KOI53c86.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Movistar KOI67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6361849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Movistar KOI69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4643539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Natus Vincere26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.672234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Natus Vincere31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.562851%320 W · 308 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Natus Vincere32c47.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573851.5%380 W · 358 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Movistar KOI67c43.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0647434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Movistar KOI69c42.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2258755.4%325 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab4…20e3backed Natus Vincere46c40.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.755147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Movistar KOI72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.218342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Movistar KOI74c37.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8518164.1%116 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Natus Vincere30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127843.9%122 W · 156 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Movistar KOI66c32.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0313372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked Natus Vincere31c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022532.4%73 W · 152 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Movistar KOI65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7711662.1%72 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Movistar KOI75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542448.8%207 W · 217 L+16.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Movistar KOI70c28.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6275150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa7fc…db71backed Movistar KOI79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.327369.9%51 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…824fbacked Natus Vincere46c22.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253b…6ca8backed Movistar KOI65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720552.2%107 W · 98 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba27…6a7ebacked Movistar KOI69c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.657352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Movistar KOI80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.565954.5%359 W · 300 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.