Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46887231cbb69a31195c0f084cacdbc8390e71711245e07256b07e2caddac275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Movistar KOI, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 16,389$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,188.89 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 15,005$9,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,303.34 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 7,916$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.07 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.97 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,384$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.67 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 3,176$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Movistar KOI | 36c | 2,804$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.74 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 73c | 2,383$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.74 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 2,275$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,093$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.69 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.24 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 665.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 599.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 575.27$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.42 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 525.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 468.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 444.25$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Movistar KOI | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 368.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 287.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Movistar KOI | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 177.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 174.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Movistar KOI | 35c | 156.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 138.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 130.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 105.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…263ebacked Movistar KOI | 67c | 104.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Movistar KOI | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Movistar KOI | 67c | 70.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Movistar KOI | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 62.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 52.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 34.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 30.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 29.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…1c8abacked Movistar KOI | 67c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 21.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.