TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeebe…5d9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
621
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT40752.3%213 W · 194 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 407 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.39
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$185.82
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$242.78
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.21
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$98.44
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117.31
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$122.37
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$54.61
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$210.57
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$271.09
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 407 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT15856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$218.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.92
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.01
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.42
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.41
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$86.19
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$671.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$310.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$184.47
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$231
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$80.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$184.51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+54%+$63.77
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.7
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.43
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$43.43
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.39
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+258.9%+$288.56
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+266.1%+$290.02
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+741.6%+$5,320.81
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.61
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$228.68
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.36
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$199.14
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+164.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.