TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,439,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,283,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,439,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Yes11c143,502$15,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,515.1914232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes11c129,975$14,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,297.228932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c110,743$8,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,810.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes10c72,364$7,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,293.391,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8028…6117backed Yes10c47,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes10c44,916$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,583.061,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c29,363$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.69953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes7c24,032$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes11c18,180$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.86833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes10c15,815$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.4733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes8c14,846$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.7924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f14…64d0backed Yes4c11,830$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes10c11,411$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.0570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes11c10,000$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes9c8,453$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.8967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…392abacked Yes2c8,331$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.344027.5%11 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No80c7,535$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.6726949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Yes1c7,337$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes4c7,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d0…c04ebacked Yes11c7,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes6c6,753$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5245528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes10c6,375$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.491,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes13c6,154$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes0c5,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1260%0 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6edfbacked Yes4c4,991$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8216…6c5bbacked Yes0c4,514$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes11c4,431$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.378725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Yes10c4,250$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4256227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9917235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes10c3,945$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.533119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes3c3,857$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes5c3,845$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes10c3,820$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8d…c2c5backed Yes0c3,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes6c3,492$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes10c3,434$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes10c3,330$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes0c3,224$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes4c3,078$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…bff1backed Yes10c3,055$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.51812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes10c2,773$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes5c2,572$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes4c2,564$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Yes4c2,558$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes5c2,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c2,195$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d91…2109backed Yes1c2,188$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206835.3%24 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes5c2,145$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6515621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…c5f5backed Yes4c2,124$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.276333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes9c2,083$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes11c1,927$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.719819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6647…897abacked Yes2c1,778$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+95.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes11c1,769$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Yes4c1,624$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes8c1,602$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c1,591$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes13c1,522$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Yes9c1,500$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b4…46f6backed Yes1c1,499$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Yes13c1,481$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5743139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8d…030abacked Yes4c1,441$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…5e06backed Yes10c1,367$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes4c1,361$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4114216.2%23 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes8c1,355$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes5c1,334$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…a5edbacked Yes4c1,297$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf7…c089backed Yes4c1,283$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb755…b009backed Yes1c1,277$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+138.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x918b…e8e6backed Yes10c1,272$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed Yes2c1,250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick18cpaid+169.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes4c1,222$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes10c1,189$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.935834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4176…a875backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503625%9 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f6…8fa7backed Yes1c1,142$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes11c1,084$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7978927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes10c1,079$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.928533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes5c1,049$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.426216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes9c1,043$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes12c1,032$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…4affbacked Yes8c1,014$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeae4…1daebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004928.6%14 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013347.4%63 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Yes12c1,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fc…bb2ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes2c995.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0211047.3%52 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2120…2647backed Yes11c987$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116428.1%18 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8a…d6aebacked Yes11c972.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes10c952$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.215843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.