TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,598,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,019,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,598,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No6c546,038$33,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,563.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No14c500,429$70,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,060.18932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No13c253,566$32,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,696.7574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No13c200,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.9836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No4c170,397$6,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,308.3866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No0c134,055$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No11c116,999$12,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,469.9314139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No14c116,322$16,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,426.032,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No15c112,635$16,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,732.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No15c99,999$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.8921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No15c78,077$11,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,730.5642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No14c72,416$10,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,138.248048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No14c69,230$9,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,825.9529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No14c64,941$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,099.6424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No13c60,829$8,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,085.927343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed No14c58,878$8,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,004.192744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No4c58,078$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.79627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No16c56,310$8,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,971.996847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No0c55,535$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.856564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No10c53,991$5,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,364.4956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c51,786$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No15c50,213$7,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,411.631,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c4…740bbacked No17c49,999$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.791723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-60.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No13c49,425$6,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,425.269948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No8c48,373$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b76…0c37backed No15c43,500$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5251717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No9c42,417$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.1139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No5c39,177$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No15c35,113$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.9316835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c1…2348backed No2c34,559$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No15c33,076$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.8847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No16c32,651$5,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,235.576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No15c32,179$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,795.3648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No15c31,500$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No7c30,107$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No14c30,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.991529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No15c30,000$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.125038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed No13c28,667$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,726.662133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No15c28,608$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,295.1750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No14c26,535$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.8370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed No14c26,429$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7003938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No15c23,600$3,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.9644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No15c23,326$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.91,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed No20c22,862$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,472.3918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed No14c22,614$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.977835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No14c22,221$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.9321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked No14c21,511$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No15c21,478$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.5414055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No16c20,800$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No14c20,404$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.34940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No13c19,788$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.732653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No7c19,520$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.63842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No13c19,102$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.282937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No16c19,063$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0506238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No2c18,990$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4448438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No16c18,150$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.497230.6%22 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No13c17,965$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.433930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd39…2b05backed No14c17,832$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No16c16,720$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.9824028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b29ebacked No14c16,684$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No14c16,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9817235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No4c15,598$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No13c14,220$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.595939%23 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No16c13,419$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.31,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No4c12,600$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47825821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No14c11,800$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65211642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No14c10,204$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.585635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d14…36afbacked No14c10,048$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.672334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No13c10,008$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.036038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked No13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No5c9,712$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1629030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No14c9,440$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.559943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed No14c9,064$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2693528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…c089backed No8c8,788$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.171546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b1…debabacked No14c8,778$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.881915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No10c8,720$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No14c8,558$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.5136250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No15c8,557$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.591,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No17c8,348$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.1610556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed No13c8,266$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.586227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked No14c8,124$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.84235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No9c8,111$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.1813037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No15c8,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9818843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No16c7,908$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.3347442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4719…8d69backed No13c7,459$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.651926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed No14c7,400$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0365337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No17c7,244$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.636031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b5…3a6abacked No15c7,164$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.921717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed No4c7,094$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8415229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked No15c7,082$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.332934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No15c7,080$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0628631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde96…190cbacked No15c7,002$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No14c6,905$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed No14c6,670$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.843818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked No15c6,545$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No4c6,240$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3214551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No8c6,019$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.362,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90031232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.