Music · resolved market
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d1dd2a36a8cd25a79148275188566c40445b8173a41a22acb8ce7a4700faf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 14c | 7,220$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 14c | 5,896$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 12c | 4,689$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 10c | 3,454$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 14c | 1,909$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 72c | 1,436$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…ce50backed Yes | 14c | 1,425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 13c | 1,165$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…256abacked Yes | 19c | 1,152$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 14c | 1,069$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 19c | 1,056$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf230…c77bbacked Yes | 12c | 789.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Yes | 14c | 727.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…13a4backed Yes | 14c | 702.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 11c | 665$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 16c | 626.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1,421.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 14c | 604.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 14c | 604.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…68f0backed Yes | 26c | 582.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes | 14c | 523$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed Yes | 12c | 510.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…6ea4backed Yes | 15c | 463.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 80c | 423.51$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…d943backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 14c | 398.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…c05fbacked Yes | 21c | 380.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 10c | 344.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…0befbacked Yes | 10c | 338.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…7de7backed Yes | 15c | 331.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 74c | 330.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd451…a51dbacked Yes | 15c | 325.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 10c | 292.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a7…ba3fbacked Yes | 14c | 279.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 14c | 277.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…8b16backed Yes | 15c | 273.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes | 11c | 273.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 15c | 270$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…2f97backed Yes | 25c | 268.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…8cffbacked Yes | 9c | 259.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…1472backed Yes | 19c | 258.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…f4d2backed Yes | 31c | 253.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 12c | 250.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 14c | 240.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…2023backed Yes | 14c | 236.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 11c | 222.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…ffffbacked Yes | 12c | 220.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…e94cbacked Yes | 21c | 219.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 14c | 214.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…4223backed Yes | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…3e4abacked Yes | 20c | 207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5921backed Yes | 22c | 206.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…1d5bbacked Yes | 22c | 200.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…d365backed Yes | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Yes | 8c | 186.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…6e3ebacked Yes | 29c | 175.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…078bbacked Yes | 12c | 167.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…a655backed Yes | 12c | 165.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…c8fcbacked Yes | 18c | 163.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…c022backed Yes | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 11c | 158.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Yes | 17c | 155.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +366.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…7d66backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…90f6backed Yes | 14c | 147.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…a0dfbacked Yes | 13c | 142.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 136.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 13c | 134.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…ad6dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed Yes | 12c | 125.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…858abacked Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes | 21c | 105.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…5ce7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…7e12backed Yes | 12c | 93.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…96d4backed Yes | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…478bbacked Yes | 11c | 91.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…a12abacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…6a61backed Yes | 13c | 87.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 21c | 79.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…c84fbacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…8028backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…f290backed Yes | 34c | 72.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…690abacked Yes | 21c | 54.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…4e45backed Yes | 68c | 22.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 67c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 80c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.