TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes7c9,793$661 inLost-$661.0870%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656d…e4c9backed Yes10c2,505$250 inLost-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-52.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes9c1,800$164 inLost-$1645721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9374…22b8backed Yes5c1,172$62 inLost-$61.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed Yes10c1,135$114 inLost-$113.961540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+111.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes10c777.75$74 inLost-$74.2156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes7c619.13$43 inLost-$42.9314315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes8c582.98$45 inLost-$44.551074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes7c526.73$35 inLost-$35.444418.2%8 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-38.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2ad…c163backed Yes6c352.35$20 inLost-$20540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf383…c49fbacked Yes9c339.51$30 inLost-$30234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes7c293.73$21 inLost-$20.561030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes7c251$18 inLost-$17.575311.3%6 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e93…2f9dbacked Yes5c202.75$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes7c200$14 inLost-$14695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Yes8c200$16 inLost-$15.66240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e7…2ab2backed Yes7c200$14 inLost-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes6c178.57$11 inLost-$112725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes8c147.88$12 inLost-$11.837626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed Yes9c109.69$10 inLost-$106028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.