TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1036…7defbacked Yes2c4,599$100 inLost-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50a…6717backed Yes7c4,520$300 inLost-$30080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes2c3,505$75 inLost-$75.244531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes5c2,640$119 inLost-$118.841136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+125.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes6c1,519$85 inLost-$84.8222927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes3c1,369$47 inLost-$46.931478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes2c872.17$20 inLost-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6c…d024backed Yes7c841.89$56 inLost-$56.291315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Yes9c701.39$64 inLost-$64.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…3f1abacked Yes4c683.06$25 inLost-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x656d…e4c9backed Yes8c662.69$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-52.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6921…b166backed Yes5c595.73$29 inLost-$29.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…3950backed Yes4c538.46$20 inLost-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost-$1015119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes3c500$15 inLost-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes2c499.97$10 inLost-$10.51030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+1,204.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf67d…5432backed Yes3c448.05$12 inLost-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Yes8c400$31 inLost-$31.4240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de1…1f55backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…0fd1backed Yes5c347.4$16 inLost-$16.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes14c319$45 inLost-$44.664339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd573…bb91backed Yes5c305.6$14 inLost-$14.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb57…1c2dbacked Yes4c268.97$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…128abacked Yes9c218.98$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf279…2fdcbacked Yes7c163.35$11 inLost-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Yes9c138.47$12 inLost-$11.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes14c134$19 inLost-$18.764654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes14c92$13 inLost-$12.884629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes15c90$14 inLost-$13.59333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8fb…72cdbacked No80c50$40 inWon+$102875%21 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.