Music · resolved market
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66db20af4919780b9ee9ede1ad0c79050bbdcff217d9fb6f3d0c65ab7c5a210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 14c | 17,206$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 12c | 15,947$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 18c | 12,717$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.01 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 76c | 8,413$6,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 12c | 5,426$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 13c | 4,390$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 13c | 4,381$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed Yes | 70c | 3,918$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 15c | 3,811$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 17c | 3,802$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.34 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Yes | 69c | 2,918$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.08 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 15c | 2,779$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 12c | 2,776$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 15c | 2,629$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 13c | 2,547$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 14c | 2,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 23c | 2,468$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 1,815$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,777$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.47 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 56c | 1,480$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 1,400$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 39c | 1,332$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.98 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 19c | 1,313$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 14c | 1,294$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.44 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 1,232$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 17c | 1,166$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 17c | 1,036$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 15c | 1,008$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…e004backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…678ebacked Yes | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1,797.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…d834backed No | 15c | 886.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 19c | 875$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 77c | 836$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 77c | 832$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 804.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 61c | 656.1$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 15c | 602.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…5e7bbacked No | 18c | 575.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 13c | 568.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 49c | 567.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 18c | 523.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 20c | 513.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 60c | 502.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 20c | 502.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 14c | 481.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 14c | 475.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…e6b8backed Yes | 72c | 439.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 79c | 424.32$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 14c | 396$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 391.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 24c | 350.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 10c | 348$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…308bbacked No | 14c | 336.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 19c | 318.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 19c | 317.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f7…cc0dbacked Yes | 79c | 303.27$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 21c | 302.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…01d6backed No | 17c | 302.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 13c | 299.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…db04backed No | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 14c | 266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 14c | 263.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 12c | 263$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 16c | 239.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 18c | 222.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9c…0f82backed No | 14c | 221.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 43c | 218.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 18c | 212.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 46c | 207.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 176.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 65c | 175.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…c533backed Yes | 60c | 165.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Yes | 72c | 162.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…1688backed No | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…5ac8backed No | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 149.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 11c | 147.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…c733backed Yes | 78c | 136.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 46c | 134.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 28c | 126.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed No | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…9e61backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…8028backed No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…5ba5backed No | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed No | 13c | 119.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 27c | 116.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…709bbacked Yes | 78c | 114.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…f1d0backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…0536backed No | 18c | 110.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…175fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…a38dbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.