Music · resolved market
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d915df49ec431ee198064f0a6d62dee60d2f7c449711c07397af59de918b7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 78c | 18,975$14,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.57 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 28c | 14,300$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…ae3bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,761$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 15c | 6,055$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 30c | 4,161$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 29c | 3,983$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.61 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 68c | 3,316$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.8 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 15c | 2,247$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…00a6backed Yes | 17c | 2,147$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 17c | 2,016$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 71c | 1,808$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…7973backed Yes | 28c | 1,768$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 29c | 1,757$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 14c | 1,450$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 56c | 1,421$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.8 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 25c | 1,350$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…6043backed Yes | 57c | 1,051$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 16c | 935.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 29c | 928$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 14c | 927.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 29c | 924$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 71c | 924$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes | 14c | 900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 71c | 880$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 29c | 880$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 71c | 877$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 8c | 734.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…3e0dbacked Yes | 16c | 680.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 69c | 670.86$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 17c | 621$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 18c | 611$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 17c | 591.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 18c | 577$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 18c | 573$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…61e5backed Yes | 18c | 566.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…3210backed Yes | 36c | 543.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…6b6bbacked Yes | 17c | 529.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 502.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 72c | 488.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 71c | 465.68$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 70c | 452.17$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 79c | 447$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 16c | 440.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed No | 80c | 433.39$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 70c | 420.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 28c | 419$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked No | 72c | 419$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed Yes | 24c | 412.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 398.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…0b12backed Yes | 15c | 393.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…0882backed Yes | 21c | 370.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…263cbacked No | 80c | 348.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 21c | 325.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 29c | 300.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 286.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 68c | 280.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…7780backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes | 16c | 266$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 19c | 261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…af2cbacked Yes | 15c | 228.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 14c | 226.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 71c | 223.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 12c | 222.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 68c | 221.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 209.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Yes | 22c | 196.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 17c | 193$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…919dbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 176.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Yes | 29c | 169.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…2108backed Yes | 19c | 167.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 79c | 166.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 79c | 162.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…e08abacked Yes | 19c | 157.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4e…e209backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 17c | 155.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…3950backed Yes | 20c | 151.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…8a22backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 9c | 131.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…d834backed Yes | 14c | 131.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 77c | 129.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 68c | 126.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes | 16c | 126.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 68c | 125.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…658bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…b7e8backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.