TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes30c13,281$3,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.638140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,275$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.82323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No66c7,681$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed No73c6,696$4,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.623135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes39c2,269$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.066144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No65c2,027$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.516339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes35c1,988$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.756943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes39c1,618$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2870%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes33c1,511$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2614835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No61c1,462$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.35743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Yes35c1,133$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c1,048$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.923348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No77c981.3$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.678737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No70c978.2$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.267345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes37c943.64$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.458234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c900$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2367740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes31c666$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3510235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No75c665.17$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.225554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No64c612.7$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.76642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed No72c563.89$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick68cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes34c552.69$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.67626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes23c547.06$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes35c529.32$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.933221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes29c479.29$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.088342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes38c457.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d56…e09ebacked Yes37c451.09$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes36c441.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0619939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed No71c421.89$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.571225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9297…0068backed Yes24c409.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.47per pick60cpaid-83.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x70b1…3fcabacked Yes39c406.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No67c399.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8b…1633backed Yes40c383.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked No66c379.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.821822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No61c328.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7422927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2a…87eebacked Yes22c302.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0953…b819backed Yes28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes36c299.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1095139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed No63c298.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No65c296.03$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.593545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed No66c294.49$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.532634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e53…b0a7backed Yes35c282.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes28c277.77$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.783644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No65c269.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1816250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x165c…d943backed Yes34c269.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes38c265.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes21c257.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.027121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No74c255.47$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.526334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No61c243.16$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.833141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+205.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked No65c231$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked No65c229.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.06988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2824…a954backed No67c215.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+160.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0d…52d2backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d8…0a0ebacked No73c198.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes41c198.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+185.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No73c182.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f9…1011backed Yes22c182.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes18c179.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.765930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked No70c176.54$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No70c175.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.214434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed No66c175.45$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.963622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes27c161.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.684418.2%8 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-38.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7e9…4b5fbacked No64c156.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d4a…a1b9backed Yes26c154.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54761.7%29 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf28f…841abacked No67c149.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Yes27c148.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba92…2196backed Yes39c134.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bd…d834backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes31c129.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.145349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes40c128.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.62119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-84.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes24c126.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.382441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes40c126.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…a8c9backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No68c124.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.964531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63d3…8abcbacked Yes40c114.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf70…50e9backed Yes38c109.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ad…ca24backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No74c104$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c90…8770backed No66c103.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No72c100.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…9b5abacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3780…6429backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-66.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.533023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad19…6b8abacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c8…dec4backed Yes33c87.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No67c84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.726043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21fb…60acbacked Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f46…3950backed No64c78.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes26c77.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.254629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6749…7fe0backed No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dc…263cbacked No65c73.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.623100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed No65c66.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.329333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.351233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0813…5b41backed Yes33c64.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.