TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1970…398dbacked Yes21c600$124 inLost-$1245721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes8c500$40 inLost-$405819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b2…9bafbacked Yes9c329.99$30 inLost-$29.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No79c278.8$220 inWon+$59.227740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes12c213.94$25 inLost-$25.425030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c200$18 inLost-$181074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Yes9c200$18 inLost-$17.7240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes22c199.99$44 inLost-$445335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No78c198.81$155 inWon+$44.085554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No72c184.6$133 inWon+$51.8312835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes24c121$28 inLost-$28.464339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed Yes34c110$37 inLost-$37.21540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+111.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost-$336334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes16c80$13 inLost-$13.174042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No74c72$54 inWon+$18.444761.7%29 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked No71c42.35$30 inWon+$12.353145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe3…5b92backed No78c34$27 inWon+$7.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa1…deebbacked No65c25$16 inWon+$8.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No72c20$14 inWon+$5.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked No63c17.62$11 inWon+$6.528234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No69c16.27$11 inWon+$5.031080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+65%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97c3…c524backed No76c15.76$12 inWon+$3.813053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No74c15.62$11 inWon+$4.142673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.