Music · resolved market
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423e43161dcab77bbbda33c4b93734a46b8a64de97559acf3ef5b1b70b8d41ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 54c | 20,397$11,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,329.83 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 11,750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed No | 47c | 7,295$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 46c | 5,070$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.99 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 50c | 4,776$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.58 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 47c | 3,529$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 53c | 3,265$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.92 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 61c | 3,110$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 53c | 2,600$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 46c | 2,433$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.84 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 56c | 2,205$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 61c | 1,983$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.15 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 33c | 1,942$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.79 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 57c | 1,766$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 42c | 1,715$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.94 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked No | 46c | 1,683$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,574$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.25 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 55c | 1,441$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.53 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 49c | 1,301$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.03 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 42c | 1,289$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 45c | 1,150$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.64 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 50c | 1,146$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.74 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 57c | 1,130$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.35 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 41c | 1,077$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…910ebacked No | 45c | 1,059$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 48c | 1,036$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 28c | 1,030$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 47c | 1,009$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.48 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +187%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 41c | 911$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 59c | 902$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 43c | 888.89$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.1 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 61c | 878.3$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 45c | 870$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…078abacked Yes | 58c | 864.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 41c | 854$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 49c | 795.55$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 36c | 726.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.38 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 55c | 723.9$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.68 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 48c | 720.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 713.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.41 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed Yes | 55c | 700$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 45c | 672.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed No | 59c | 666$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 59c | 659$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 67c | 628$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 33c | 628$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 43c | 622.18$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 38c | 602.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 44c | 566.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 44c | 561.54$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 48c | 538.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…bf88backed Yes | 57c | 530.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 41c | 505.2$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 41c | 450$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 46c | 431.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 44c | 422$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…5da5backed Yes | 54c | 417.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…b643backed No | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 40c | 400$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 46c | 399.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…0d5bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 45c | 377.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 35c | 372.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.1 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 55c | 361.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 357.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 38c | 350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 59c | 350$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked No | 48c | 310$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 309.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 62c | 308.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 37c | 304.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 73c | 275.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 274.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 61c | 254.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 73c | 253.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…ece8backed Yes | 60c | 248.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…cb3dbacked Yes | 73c | 246.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed No | 42c | 238.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…0430backed Yes | 56c | 238.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 41c | 238$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 28c | 231.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 36c | 230$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…48b8backed No | 43c | 225.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 51c | 225$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…6108backed Yes | 41c | 224$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.