TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4bb8…eea6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Music, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Music at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$126.39
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.77
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.08
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$142.24
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$334.62
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$202.1
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$316.24
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$341.11
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$249.21
Will "Tariff" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$121.98
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+244.8%+$195.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$169.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$56.35
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$199.68
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.12
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$1,016.75
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.72
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$110.88
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.02
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$337.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$215.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$130.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$131.09
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$56.42
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$248.52
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$167.7
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.82
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Will Lurker win Best First Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$290.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+101%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+193.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick17cpaid+441.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+100.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.28
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$28.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$307.23
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$94.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$207.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$504.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$297.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$201.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$54.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$175.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.