Us Politics · resolved market
Will Hillary's remarks not air?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e9419bb36fb1e532be189740bb76b6699707242b93c151fd2e22ef694ba26df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 21,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…89e0backed No | 18c | 4,031$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…ed95backed No | 15c | 3,840$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 3,278$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…86abbacked No | 1c | 2,769$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…de6bbacked No | 1c | 2,649$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 15c | 2,427$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…9e9fbacked No | 1c | 1,989$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 3c | 1,752$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 3c | 1,710$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed No | 5c | 1,400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…3ddcbacked No | 1c | 1,207$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…3c35backed No | 5c | 986.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 75c | 900$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 48c | 855.65$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09e…e177backed No | 5c | 747.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked No | 9c | 707.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…9019backed No | 5c | 583.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 4c | 541.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked No | 78c | 394$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 22c | 394$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…cda2backed No | 8c | 385.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Yes | 22c | 373$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 78c | 373$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 359.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 5c | 343.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc8…04eebacked No | 7c | 324.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 63c | 315.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…4064backed No | 4c | 310.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Yes | 44c | 309.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed No | 8c | 285.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…a3c5backed No | 10c | 234.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed No | 13c | 230$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…da27backed No | 13c | 224.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 79c | 210$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 13c | 206.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed No | 7c | 205$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed No | 8c | 204.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 10c | 194.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…b9e2backed Yes | 66c | 188.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d4…c9c9backed No | 6c | 158.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed Yes | 73c | 111.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 78c | 106.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…674ebacked No | 19c | 106.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 46c | 28.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…fe90backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…712abacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…4714backed No | 79c | 23.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…d9dbbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143f…3ef3backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hillary's remarks not air?this page
- Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Daughter" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Donor" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Dress" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Massage" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Monica" or "Lewinsky" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Pam" or "Bondi" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Secretary" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Six Seven" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Under Oath" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "Wedding" during her Epstein testimony?No won
- Will Hillary say "White House" during her Epstein testimony?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.