TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,530 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x475a…86abbacked Yes1c4,639$25 inLost-$24.84130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…ed6dbacked Yes1c3,284$42 inLost-$41.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f6…9e9fbacked Yes1c2,346$35 inLost-$35100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523b…7fb3backed Yes2c1,282$26 inLost-$25.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…4ebebacked Yes1c1,064$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes12c820$98 inLost-$98.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes5c429.32$21 inLost-$21.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f1…47c6backed Yes11c296.22$33 inLost-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…4ab1backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…717ebacked Yes12c166.66$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed Yes12c151$18 inLost-$18.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked No79c145.21$115 inWon+$30.013253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…5d84backed Yes8c134.68$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…6293backed Yes17c119.88$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6a…97f2backed Yes62c100.94$63 inLost-$63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No37c90.94$34 inWon+$574100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2d…1b80backed Yes14c84.71$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3a…e29abacked Yes21c72.36$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb92…a880backed Yes59c57.93$34 inLost-$34.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e40…34a4backed Yes59c47.73$28 inLost-$28.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d8…e461backed No41c47.57$20 inWon+$28.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x113a…5696backed No41c44.17$18 inWon+$26.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0c…1330backed No41c39.97$16 inWon+$23.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b2…ea2fbacked Yes59c26.05$15 inLost-$15.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2f…d8f8backed No45c23.09$10 inWon+$12.73655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x583a…8aa1backed Yes55c23.09$13 inLost-$12.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.