TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc0a…ccdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.15
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.27
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$42.64
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Jensen Huang say "Google" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+408.5%+$44.68
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.8%+$9.55
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45.6%+$4.7
Will Trump say "Hell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Trump say "Tariff" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+191.3%+$19.69
Will "Unemployment" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Crypto" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will "Scott" or "Bessent" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Will Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+85.6%+$9.8
Will Brian Armstrong say "Echo" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100.8%+$38.95
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$4.74
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.25
Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+352.5%+$45.26
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Starmer say "Child" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Starmer say "Tory" or "Tories" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.05
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questionsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+151.6%+$41.12
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.69
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+482%+$98.81
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+299.4%+$114.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$62.32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+259.8%+$58.47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.66
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.86
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.64
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$13.21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.3%+$95.1
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$8.05
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.67
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$53.73
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$15.68
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.63
Will "Epstein" be said at the Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the 2nd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+122%+$42.1
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.58
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75%+$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 51–60 times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.