Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,315,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,305,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,315,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 27,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b7…962ebacked Yes | 10c | 12,354,112$1,230,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230,047.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,439,471$1,011,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011,259.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…be92backed Yes | 19c | 3,206,096$599,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599,711.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 2,091,145$514,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514,632.08 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 9c | 2,009,114$170,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,819.23 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 26c | 1,709,198$449,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449,001.61 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…f56bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,553,468$530,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530,952.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 1,528,519$230,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,850.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 20c | 1,434,096$284,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,903.83 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 1,309,265$87,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,729.2 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,285,736$216,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,258.91 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 20c | 1,246,647$254,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,827.67 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes | 18c | 1,180,304$207,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207,195.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 41c | 1,019,293$419,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419,032.18 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 896,430$251,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,436.34 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 28c | 789,278$224,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,342.25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 9c | 784,524$67,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,469.1 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 732,484$202,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,349.13 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 16c | 706,264$115,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,310.59 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 9c | 703,333$59,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,998.47 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 16c | 701,511$110,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,994.58 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 20c | 618,906$121,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,264.28 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 79c | 610,230$481,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,933.84 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 42c | 568,720$240,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 9c | 566,151$48,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,706.71 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 26c | 559,509$144,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,161.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…7e2ebacked Yes | 41c | 542,533$224,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,636.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…b7bdbacked Yes | 15c | 541,966$79,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,386.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes | 36c | 535,952$193,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,394.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 9c | 532,724$45,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,736.72 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 16c | 525,039$85,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,843.92 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…504ebacked Yes | 11c | 458,000$51,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,961.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…d069backed Yes | 15c | 454,294$67,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,641.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 20c | 446,700$88,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,500 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…6f53backed Yes | 19c | 441,318$84,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,740.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed No | 59c | 438,510$258,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,188.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…7b87backed Yes | 18c | 430,995$78,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,723.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…04d4backed Yes | 10c | 430,268$42,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,298.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 41c | 424,598$172,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,186.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 13c | 423,331$56,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,018.28 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes | 10c | 410,000$39,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,764.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 408,955$54,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,672.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 2c | 400,385$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.46 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Yes | 15c | 400,126$61,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,244.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 20c | 400,000$80,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,600 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed No | 59c | 388,530$228,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,483.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 16c | 380,213$59,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,841 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 20c | 376,004$74,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,395.02 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 20c | 366,915$71,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,657.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 358,467$107,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,689.02 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 9c | 350,232$30,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,311.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 17c | 344,246$58,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,980.19 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes | 10c | 343,630$33,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,283.25 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…fba3backed Yes | 11c | 343,121$37,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,754.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +237.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 18c | 341,707$61,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,996.9 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…77f1backed Yes | 9c | 340,654$29,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,636.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…76c5backed Yes | 9c | 336,978$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 12c | 331,740$38,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,709.96 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 13c | 331,527$44,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,095.96 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 14c | 327,791$46,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,984.64 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Yes | 9c | 322,793$28,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,190.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 72c | 304,519$218,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,320.23 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 13c | 300,000$38,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,351.02 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 30c | 300,000$88,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,499.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked No | 58c | 299,999$173,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,599.68 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 9c | 294,397$27,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,965.41 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 13c | 290,300$38,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,917.23 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…f63dbacked Yes | 19c | 287,676$55,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,038.08 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 9c | 286,990$24,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,714.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 20c | 279,131$54,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,709.64 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…bcc9backed Yes | 14c | 275,595$38,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,578.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes | 16c | 273,162$44,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,840.43 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…1488backed Yes | 15c | 258,896$38,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,596.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 29c | 258,735$75,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,361.48 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 16c | 255,987$41,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,038.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 16c | 254,980$39,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,526.48 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 12c | 254,639$31,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,267.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…247abacked Yes | 12c | 242,220$28,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,581.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…28c6backed Yes | 8c | 239,657$20,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,005.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 21c | 238,030$49,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,132.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 77c | 233,983$180,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,715.39 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 29c | 233,178$67,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,083.01 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 9c | 232,054$20,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,219.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 11c | 231,183$24,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,745.51 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…f1d4backed Yes | 26c | 227,126$57,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,959.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 9c | 221,292$19,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,916.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…f0dabacked Yes | 44c | 221,131$96,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,963.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…d715backed Yes | 7c | 220,050$14,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,730.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 10c | 217,078$21,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,075.88 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 73c | 210,515$154,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,177.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…b673backed Yes | 13c | 208,362$28,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,126.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…de96backed Yes | 10c | 206,774$20,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,002.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 13c | 206,021$27,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,206.95 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 41c | 205,974$84,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,642.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 44c | 204,155$88,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,888 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c416backed Yes | 19c | 203,481$38,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,753.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…a1b9backed Yes | 15c | 203,103$30,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,252.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 8c | 202,600$17,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,091.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…523bbacked Yes | 42c | 200,100$84,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,041.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 15c | 200,000$30,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,136.6 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.