TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,524,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,493,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,524,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c7,056,069$7,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,091.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4947…eeafbacked Yes0c3,147,930$10,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,124.9540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c2,981,612$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.61120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c1,872,269$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.27147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c1,785,326$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.659819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes0c1,700,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70016225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes0c1,050,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a02…4726backed Yes0c959,500$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c886,492$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.511705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…a689backed Yes0c622,000$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c502,000$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c6…161abacked Yes0c480,660$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes0c421,000$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213619.4%7 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9648…383cbacked Yes0c412,204$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e5…8363backed Yes0c412,060$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc53e…bfdebacked Yes0c411,993$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6af…f89dbacked Yes0c411,851$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a7…d9f0backed Yes0c411,851$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df8…15a8backed Yes0c411,736$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fe…0ff5backed Yes0c411,614$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54cf…b3cebacked Yes0c411,561$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4adc…aa28backed Yes0c411,520$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ae…29a2backed Yes0c411,520$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca7…3ce0backed Yes0c411,223$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e07…7f0bbacked Yes0c411,223$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c85…03d6backed Yes0c411,223$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e75…465abacked Yes0c411,130$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8722…5440backed Yes0c411,130$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes0c315,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…4c6fbacked Yes0c299,985$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…9afdbacked Yes0c299,985$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ff…e553backed Yes0c299,852$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf2…63eabacked Yes0c299,852$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…9726backed Yes0c299,839$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x748c…aab9backed Yes0c299,704$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a0…1fbebacked Yes0c299,687$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1917…17a9backed Yes0c299,646$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb216…e4bbbacked Yes0c299,557$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0fd…33b0backed Yes0c299,537$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa147…9294backed Yes0c298,675$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…d24cbacked Yes0c298,563$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4878…875dbacked Yes0c293,463$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…bf67backed Yes0c293,305$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e1…f00abacked Yes0c293,296$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…e4f1backed Yes0c293,259$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0285…276fbacked Yes0c259,533$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587c…807ebacked Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25090%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c248,733$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4712711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes0c190,500$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes0c189,195$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.391428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c154,590$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.59250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes0c153,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…e2d1backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c150,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c124,051$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.12437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe468…769dbacked Yes0c119,808$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…d095backed Yes0c118,100$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c116,781$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.882825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7f…f514backed Yes0c115,593$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.86277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-72.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c110,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c109,906$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.37130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes0c108,000$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-63.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ede…5ab8backed Yes0c106,050$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1737…4e0dbacked Yes0c105,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-72.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3729…37b3backed Yes0c103,333$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes0c103,090$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0935041.1%144 W · 206 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8b…8ac2backed Yes0c102,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d8…7853backed Yes0c100,141$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes0c100,140$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a42…fab9backed Yes0c100,028$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.06160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c100,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23018510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…df7dbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dd…17eebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100254%1 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-87.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c7…2091backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100380%0 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b61…9e16backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055b…c60cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd498…80aebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes0c99,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f3…f8e5backed Yes0c90,093$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f01…d646backed Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c90,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6d…aedabacked Yes0c85,790$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14be…4498backed Yes0c82,190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c79,895$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…f2cdbacked Yes0c76,500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa963…ba25backed Yes0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c66,666$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes0c65,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb662…1d6fbacked Yes0c62,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c59,993$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15f…e7e0backed Yes0c58,428$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.