TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,097,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,853,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,097,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c10,126,374$10,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,130.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c3,842,520$7,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,685.049819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c985,800$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.681705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c830,020$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.02120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c784,557$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.12244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c699,818$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c603,276$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.28147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c601,810$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.623636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4beb…fcdabacked Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c490,339$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.34128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Yes0c360,096$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c356,504$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes0c350,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503818.4%7 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c251,971$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.94130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d09…143fbacked Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c212,776$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.78352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccb…d731backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,733$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c112,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c110,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x668b…6734backed Yes0c93,210$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c92,943$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.942825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c81,000$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3285…05aebacked Yes0c80,717$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.43185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes0c80,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c72,531$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.06260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes0c71,000$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c70,001$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c59,022$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.22392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…fc1bbacked Yes0c50,793$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc171…aa19backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f9…b3a4backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d81…77b0backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc738…703ebacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee89…0ce9backed Yes0c45,013$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c36,230$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.23250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…0395backed Yes0c35,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes0c35,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705320.8%11 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca0d…7909backed Yes0c34,170$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef6…b8e3backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-77.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb79e…de7ebacked Yes0c30,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4682…4d40backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7581…76e6backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ea…449cbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30339.1%3 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes0c30,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…095cbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes0c29,999$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c29,948$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.91,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…42dcbacked Yes0c28,450$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a39…cf39backed Yes0c25,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4089…99d5backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+380.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513247.7%63 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes0c24,611$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.83270%0 W · 27 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd657…5219backed Yes0c23,715$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c4…d6dabacked Yes0c23,253$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc908…f949backed Yes0c21,701$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ec…645ebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…2091backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20380%0 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b8…2f86backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…b8c1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d64…a4ddbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f52…9039backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ecf…04bbbacked Yes0c18,199$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes0c17,480$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48254%1 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ad…7285backed Yes0c17,419$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c15,800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes0c15,712$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb2…3424backed Yes0c15,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad0…2355backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes0c15,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fa…479abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes0c14,443$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44400%0 W · 40 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.