Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be56371f6a29d12769b2f196847ee825b9585ebb8bfa042136be031b081eba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,727,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,106,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,727,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Yes | 5c | 1,999,958$99,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,072.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 1,393,681$61,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,522.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 5c | 960,086$48,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,293.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 4c | 878,548$34,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,298.25 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 4c | 747,111$28,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,120.3 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 5c | 740,610$37,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,044.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 4c | 651,177$24,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,093.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 644,792$30,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,828.57 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 4c | 640,807$28,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,381 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…a12bbacked Yes | 4c | 633,798$22,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,637.93 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…7061backed Yes | 5c | 628,400$33,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,164.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…5bfbbacked Yes | 3c | 576,956$19,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,027.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 5c | 562,368$26,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,789.11 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…89b4backed Yes | 5c | 558,960$28,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,841.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Yes | 4c | 526,315$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 4c | 500,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes | 4c | 479,432$20,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,396.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…70a3backed Yes | 4c | 465,316$19,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,728.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 3c | 446,674$14,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,780.8 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 4c | 427,931$17,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,847.39 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 4c | 426,524$15,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,003.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 402,180$15,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,286.44 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…0d26backed Yes | 5c | 400,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d10ebacked Yes | 4c | 396,468$16,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,505.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 365,689$16,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,064.98 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 4c | 357,167$14,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,286.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 6c | 354,500$19,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,497.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 5c | 350,237$16,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,690 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 3c | 349,478$12,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,198.14 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…321cbacked Yes | 3c | 338,525$10,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,921.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 4c | 333,333$11,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,935.42 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 5c | 333,000$17,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,817 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 3c | 308,368$10,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,166.71 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 5c | 302,207$14,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,062 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 5c | 298,428$14,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,821.75 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 4c | 293,443$12,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,423.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 5c | 292,991$13,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,284.65 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 5c | 290,357$14,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,431.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…6afdbacked Yes | 5c | 283,571$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 266,731$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.84 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 3c | 262,144$8,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,079.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…66f1backed Yes | 5c | 261,990$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 4c | 251,071$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…2951backed Yes | 4c | 248,271$9,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,638.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 4c | 243,902$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Yes | 4c | 241,343$9,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.72 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 5c | 239,832$12,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,015.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 225,279$10,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,697.46 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 221,212$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…a193backed Yes | 4c | 217,678$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 5c | 210,817$10,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,116.17 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 5c | 208,000$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 207,624$9,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,092.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 4c | 205,046$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.61 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 5c | 203,000$9,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,396 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 4c | 202,714$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,519.4 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 3c | 202,135$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,872.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d030backed Yes | 4c | 200,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Yes | 5c | 200,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 5c | 200,000$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 5c | 197,981$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes | 4c | 191,873$8,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,367.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 4c | 184,244$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.39 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d415backed Yes | 5c | 179,287$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed Yes | 4c | 172,469$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.25 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 3c | 168,135$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.72 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 3c | 165,581$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.98 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 4c | 162,087$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969.75 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c416backed Yes | 4c | 155,548$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…b98bbacked Yes | 4c | 154,526$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 5c | 152,000$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…6cf6backed Yes | 5c | 151,507$7,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,713.43 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…86acbacked Yes | 3c | 149,935$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 3c | 149,875$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.99 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 5c | 149,328$6,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,778.17 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes | 4c | 147,500$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 3c | 147,059$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 3c | 147,000$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…9527backed Yes | 3c | 143,290$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 4c | 141,667$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 4c | 140,585$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 3c | 140,049$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.57 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed Yes | 4c | 138,184$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.48 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 4c | 135,135$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 133,406$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.06 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 4c | 130,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Yes | 4c | 127,813$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 4c | 127,287$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.8 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes | 4c | 126,909$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.36 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…8d6ebacked Yes | 3c | 126,029$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 4c | 125,737$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…18f4backed Yes | 6c | 125,333$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…17fbbacked Yes | 6c | 125,114$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 120,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.02 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 4c | 119,594$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.84 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…95acbacked Yes | 5c | 117,647$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 4c | 116,020$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…ad0abacked Yes | 4c | 115,540$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…aaafbacked Yes | 5c | 115,060$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c3…0a75backed Yes | 4c | 111,798$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.