Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe230d510eaf545198c0d62bb17871e5fe8989f1b19aa54c0c062b858360987c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,671,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,101,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,671,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 889 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	0c	8,245,513$22,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,009.96	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Yes	1c	7,799,044$40,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,292.37	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes	0c	5,219,598$26,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,078.38	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes	1c	4,424,945$22,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,351.91	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	3,002,264$3,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,633.05	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Yes	1c	2,931,638$14,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,658.19	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	0c	2,600,988$6,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,580.93	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x129e…1547backed Yes	0c	2,338,313$4,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,921.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes	1c	1,386,792$8,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,034.27	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	1c	1,339,794$6,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,698.97	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	0c	1,298,358$2,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,311.62	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	0c	1,126,310$2,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,568.06	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	1c	1,016,667$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes	1c	1,000,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes	0c	1,000,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	0c	1,000,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	1c	999,989$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.95	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	0c	799,999$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes	0c	650,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	0c	632,435$2,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,486.19	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes	1c	510,333$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes	1c	500,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	0c	500,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Yes	1c	498,432$2,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,492.16	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	0c	467,302$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.51	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd80…f06ebacked Yes	0c	414,140$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	0c	385,142$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.24	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes	0c	375,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes	0c	351,725$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.45	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes	0c	347,164$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.66	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes	0c	336,794$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.97	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1737…4e0dbacked Yes	0c	316,297$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91eb…da31backed Yes	0c	305,000$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes	0c	304,150$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	0c	300,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yes	0c	298,714$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.85	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x287f…d819backed Yes	0c	285,935$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes	0c	271,894$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.58	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a24…98a7backed Yes	1c	252,500$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	0c	250,687$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.68	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes	1c	250,144$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.98	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes	1c	250,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	0c	245,944$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.78	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes	1c	239,692$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.85	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	0c	235,919$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.02	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c43…f964backed Yes	0c	230,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	17cpaid	-75%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	0c	225,130$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.65	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes	0c	222,102$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.32	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	0c	220,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9e…e3e6backed Yes	1c	200,350$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes	1c	200,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	1c	200,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8664…dd88backed Yes	1c	200,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Yes	1c	199,626$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes	1c	166,000$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes	1c	150,971$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.85	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	0c	150,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Yes	0c	137,500$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes	1c	128,555$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	0c	126,850$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.4	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes	0c	126,730$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.79	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes	0c	125,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…95eabacked Yes	1c	121,678$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.39	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa1…8bf3backed Yes	0c	120,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0805…a0d1backed Yes	0c	117,405$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.81	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e5…66b2backed Yes	1c	116,794$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd863…5c5ebacked Yes	1c	116,667$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…34bfbacked Yes	0c	115,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Yes	1c	114,400$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes	1c	112,000$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf978…f941backed Yes	1c	110,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	1c	105,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes	0c	104,348$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.39	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes	0c	103,500$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a60…67b4backed Yes	0c	102,575$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf96f…1f5cbacked Yes	0c	102,500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes	1c	100,949$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.75	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Yes	0c	100,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	33cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa77…563bbacked Yes	1c	100,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3c…a801backed Yes	1c	100,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4711…3950backed Yes	0c	100,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Yes	1c	100,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes	1c	100,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	0c	100,000$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes	0c	100,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	0c	100,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes	0c	100,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes	0c	99,000$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc12f…3648backed Yes	0c	97,107$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.12	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…19c1backed Yes	1c	96,530$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes	0c	89,150$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.3	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae4…8ecbbacked Yes	1c	88,422$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7401…47a5backed Yes	1c	84,833$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	0c	84,427$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.43	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes	1c	84,048$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x534a…0adbbacked Yes	1c	81,013$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes	1c	80,162$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.81	57	12.3%7 W · 50 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes	1c	80,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	25%5 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	1c	80,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event