TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,049,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,938,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,049,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x801b…e036backed Yes0c3,442,144$6,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,884.293315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c970,665$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.661705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c882,540$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.54147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c649,998$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c440,360$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.3632629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c245,047$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.05128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c139,000$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes0c126,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c107,139$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.07210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af9…513cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c99,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c80,288$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c66,666$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes0c64,000$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf464…6983backed Yes0c63,627$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c6…fa79backed Yes0c53,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c50,113$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.231,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2506…d291backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…76e6backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c29,947$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.95130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes0c26,100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c25,298$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes0c25,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75270%0 W · 27 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ac…f515backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c25,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…7412backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…2091backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20380%0 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7b…bd5dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad0…2355backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5107…4106backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152114.3%3 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016343.6%71 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4089…99d5backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214512.4%18 W · 127 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213247.7%63 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c11,505$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386a…f99fbacked Yes0c10,261$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26254%1 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-74.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6300…41adbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109434%32 W · 62 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280%0 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ca…3739backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb423…37f8backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda23…89efbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…6460backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-76.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…6bf8backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-64.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f82…6bc3backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-82.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eed…0b7fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280%0 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa424…8c9cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…2f76backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105225%13 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106038.3%23 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…657fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908b…1f85backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-76.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10345.9%2 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f4…1ad1backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…ae7cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10452.2%1 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-85%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10918.8%8 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a8…542bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10400%0 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a2…32b9backed Yes0c9,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes0c7,444$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.337913.9%11 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5980backed Yes0c7,367$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15a8…9829backed Yes0c6,386$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c5,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-84.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…a2a3backed Yes0c5,190$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3535…75b2backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb86…1a3abacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…970dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a2…e7bfbacked Yes0c4,153$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-59.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab05…8a4abacked Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-88%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…2840backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.