TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3535…75b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.4%+$1,558.18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$407.34
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$67.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.3
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$564.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$51.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$50.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$158.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.55
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$108.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+56.2%+$35.11
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.7%+$56.66
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+46.4%+$33.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$16.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57.2%+$22.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+439%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+331.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+306.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Menery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.