Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51d7f80f586b9e53e96e07a77cff55eb7f3f42c35eb769dffe17192238a7903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 7c | 6,474$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.6 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 2c | 2,566$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 18c | 917.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 73c | 619.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 20c | 516.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 17c | 490.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 406$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe511…01eebacked Yes | 4c | 357.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 75c | 312.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 17c | 299.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 75c | 293.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…a5aabacked No | 70c | 230$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 174.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…fe49backed No | 65c | 139.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…2ab0backed No | 77c | 118.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 104.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…76b1backed No | 71c | 50.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9backed Yes | 27c | 49.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 28c | 44.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…b966backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 1 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.