TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbfcc…12a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$51.34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$575.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73%+$344.73
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.3%+$1,396.75
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+274.7%+$4,100.86
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$321.76
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.9%+$207.5
Will Solana dip to $120 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$309.32
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$271.83
Will Solana reach $250 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+197.5%+$987.66
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$550.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$66.66
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$54.96
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$71.52
Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+222.8%+$1,336.55
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$873.35
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$168.47
Will Solana dip to $180 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$15.27
Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$619.58
Will Solana reach $250 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.33
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,046.19
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.45
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$33.99
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$28.07
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+481%+$79.01
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$31.56
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$19.95
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.5
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.58
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.89
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$32.48
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$5.49
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$86.62
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$230.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$120.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$73.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$214.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$1,188.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.53
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40%+$219.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$84.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$360.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$104.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.58
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$115.28
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$669.37
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$173.86
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$9.5
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$68.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$27.48
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$8.14
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$294.96
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$403.53
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+377.5%+$679.43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$86.58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.49
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.99
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45%+$399.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$55.17
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$74.07
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.7%+$238.58
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.9%+$1,885.5
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.6%+$233.02
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$188.24
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.88
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+55.2%+$257.79
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$29.69
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+131.4%+$532.12
LoL: ES vs BDSAbacked BDSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have more than 330m views on September 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$133.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$47.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.