Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599a252950a9c199c269b733e35c99ad23af1fc1683be7aa3780271aa667c525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 31c | 21,606$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.85 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 68c | 9,969$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.39 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 9,816$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 62c | 8,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.57 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…b4edbacked Yes | 3c | 4,224$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 33c | 2,306$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.47 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 52c | 2,250$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.99 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 31c | 1,937$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.55 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 34c | 1,841$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.12 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…ab4bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,649$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…1396backed Yes | 1c | 1,324$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 37c | 1,055$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.73 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3bcabacked No | 75c | 679.46$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Yes | 39c | 517.27$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 504.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 62c | 483$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…1de9backed No | 20c | 300$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8075backed No | 64c | 188.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed No | 72c | 154.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…83f4backed Yes | 12c | 121.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 77c | 101.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Yes | 16c | 67.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 31c | 60.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes | 36c | 50.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?this page
- Will Solana dip to $160 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $210 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $220 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 October 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.