Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e01cba6f9d3b598c40d70879affd00de7ff05474727cdf1e6322a76e7ea1d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 9c | 8,001$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.45 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 17c | 5,550$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 32c | 5,125$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.72 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,417$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 63c | 4,254$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.33 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,519$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.97 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 76c | 2,794$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.52 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 16c | 1,833$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.72 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…ab4bbacked Yes | 47c | 790.3$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 59c | 764.62$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.36 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 10c | 529.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.94 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 34c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf378…8196backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 61c | 32.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?this page
- Will Solana dip to $160 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $210 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $220 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 October 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.