TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf750…4abb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST11442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.9%+$33.3
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$537
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$516
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205.4
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,402
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$472
Will Solana reach $210 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$235.49
Will Solana dip to $170 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$194.93
Will Solana dip to $180 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$160
Will XRP dip to $2.30 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Solana dip to $180 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will Solana dip to $180 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.6
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST5959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$71.99
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$80
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$81
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+116.7%+$1,185
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$203.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$84
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.99
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.99
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.88
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$925
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$292
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.7%+$1,069.54
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.73
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$207
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+249%+$124.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$4,040
Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$966
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,195
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.77
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$90
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.91
Will Poland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$33.85
Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.58
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$38.96
Will Poland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$70.48
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$164.72
Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$79.79
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$770.52
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.7%+$924.82
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$370
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.67
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+277.4%+$36.75
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,372.97
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.75
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$184.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift announce a new song today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leagues Cup Winner – MLS or Liga MX?backed Liga MX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.