Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3169dbe03555842f0e5f965013a332e84186dda250c7efecc3bfdfa768b482b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 4,625$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 30c | 3,715$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 1,850$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 30c | 1,608$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 72c | 1,453$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.25 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 67c | 712.87$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 663.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 620$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 29c | 600$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 27c | 500.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 71c | 354.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 71c | 353.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 286.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 276.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 268.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…8b70backed No | 32c | 261.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 29c | 259.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…fedcbacked Yes | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed No | 16c | 143.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 138.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…3d1cbacked Yes | 70c | 97.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…e2aebacked Yes | 75c | 93.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…f493backed Yes | 70c | 89.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Yes | 70c | 83.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…c472backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 36.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a63ebacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…bd5cbacked Yes | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…8d12backed Yes | 70c | 28.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Yes | 70c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…c0d3backed Yes | 70c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-05?No won
- Will Switzerland vs. Kosovo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.