TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf375…a63e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$25.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$20.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$30
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$44.45
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.93
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+180.7%+$103.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$18.81
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.64
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.