Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb8a53fcfff7c0b0d925e00f6f849452144a1b32b2f26029ecda502cfe74eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 54c | 38,216$20,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,663.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 55c | 27,120$14,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,204.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -77%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 54c | 19,961$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.97 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 18,915$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 16,442$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 44c | 12,969$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 45c | 11,277$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 10,847$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.48 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 10,136$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.04 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.94 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 59c | 4,590$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.75 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,090$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 44c | 3,013$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,946$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 2,793$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 47c | 2,216$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.55 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,210$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 2,100$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.98 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 47c | 2,027$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.42 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.35 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.02 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 55c | 1,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,598$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 1,493$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.09 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 47c | 1,395$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 50c | 1,320$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.99 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 48c | 951.85$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 900$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 49c | 819.08$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 757$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.15 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 57c | 701.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 57c | 529.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 462.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 53c | 422.77$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…9718backed Yes | 48c | 409.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes | 49c | 348.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 40c | 348.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 36c | 305.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 45c | 294.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 54c | 265.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 49c | 242.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 44c | 205.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 53c | 189.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 172.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed No | 46c | 122.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…5747backed Yes | 55c | 115.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…6eb5backed Yes | 55c | 113.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…2ba7backed Yes | 46c | 111.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 63c | 110.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…d34ebacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 46c | 108.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 51c | 104.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 68c | 102.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 32c | 101.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 52c | 100.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…bfb1backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.