TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x362c…ac6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
671
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST19757.4%113 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$21.47
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.7
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$27.24
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$47.77
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$14.61
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.01
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.84
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15.59
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.4
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT11145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$21.61
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$38.28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.24
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$20.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.34
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$45.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$25.28
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT9348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.31
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$31.65
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.92
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$38.95
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+51%+$21.93
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.17
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$21.25
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$28.63
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$140.73
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.37
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$21.87
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90.66
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49.7
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+130.2%+$52.06
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$29.08
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$21.58
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Rolex Paris Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$16.22
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$31.1
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$24.3
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$18.65
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.84
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST3551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.6%+$22.65
Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$51.24
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.68
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will FC Porto beat Roma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester United beat FCSB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Porto beat Maccabi TLV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+54.9%+$39
Will Anderlecht beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$61.2
Will AS Roma beat Frankfurt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will Lyon beat Frankfurt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+100%+$60
Will Tottenham beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will Hoffenheim beat FCSB?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will AS Roma beat Braga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+76.7%+$43.4
Will FCSB beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+61.1%+$49.95
Will Olympiacos beat Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$22.4
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$42.63
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32.7
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45.7
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+123%+$33.1
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$25.04
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$36.82
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.59
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+162.8%+$32.56
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$39
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$31.31
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$17.24
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.91
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.32
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55.15
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$11.91
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+49.3%+$33
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+47.1%+$20.8
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37.8%+$32.49
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+34.9%+$53.06
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+77.2%+$45.55
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+178.2%+$71.28
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+100%+$36
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56%+$11.19
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Eagles vs. Ramsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+66.7%+$18.53
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+63.1%+$9.22
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25.46
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$11.45
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+66.7%+$12.04
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+43.3%+$17.88
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$15
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+49.3%+$26.35
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+62%+$42.35
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+63.3%+$80.59
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+25%+$10
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+61.3%+$26.6
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.39
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+176.4%+$105.87
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+47.4%+$64.3
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$35.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.85
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.57
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.1
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$133.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$36.42
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.73
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$142.22
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Delhi Capitals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+51.5%+$23.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.