TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Manchester United beat FCSB?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9920132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No40c5,230$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.5533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes60c4,441$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes58c4,349$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.647862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Yes62c3,500$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb5…4f10backed No1c3,339$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes55c2,845$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.562846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No37c1,709$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes77c1,528$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.389742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c936.81$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.053839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes63c789.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No36c589.82$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5312243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No41c517.11$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103770.3%26 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No46c516.46$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.917759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c477.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.667851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes63c477.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…4cd5backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1844436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes68c389.14$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2112166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes62c321.55$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No39c271.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No40c254.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6112737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes62c240.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.221435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes56c200.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf8…3632backed Yes60c198.68$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes56c179.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No38c158.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.055650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9913552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6520655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Yes59c144.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes78c128.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4216…dfe8backed No41c109.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b8…c769backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408245.1%37 W · 45 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Yes62c90.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fe…658dbacked Yes49c89.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd8…1228backed Yes55c86.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71d6…6f25backed Yes60c75.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes59c63.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d0…5962backed No50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes62c57.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.783672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f22…3630backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…2056backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a83…1babbacked Yes62c45.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes56c39.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd978…2436backed Yes61c39.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fd…58f3backed No38c39.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e80…7a00backed No40c39.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…6a46backed No39c38.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe16e…2e68backed No39c38.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5018…72c0backed No38c37.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f40…e6cabacked Yes62c37.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f54…bea8backed No38c37.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf5…1b46backed Yes50c36.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b50…c606backed No40c36.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd886…3755backed No38c36.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…84a1backed Yes60c35.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…6649backed No40c35.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ad…78d3backed Yes59c35.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba64…3808backed Yes63c34.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3922…f5cdbacked Yes61c33.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84e1…3d3fbacked Yes60c33.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1063…552ebacked Yes61c32.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…2390backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b5…2062backed Yes60c31.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2680…65dabacked Yes62c31.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0a…c614backed No38c30.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8aa9…dff2backed Yes61c29.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+124.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6071…d272backed Yes62c29.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee9…32f4backed No38c29.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25da…db77backed Yes62c29.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1b…5bb6backed Yes61c27.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd07…d038backed No38c27.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…eaadbacked Yes59c27.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Yes50c27.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e7…f242backed No38c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e2…f72bbacked Yes61c25.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…ff25backed No39c25.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2df…45f9backed Yes55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.757566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c6f…c255backed Yes61c24.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.