TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e92…395a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5520%11 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$170.88
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$70.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$68.23
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jordan Pickford record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.03
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.13
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$61.48
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.07
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.97
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.44
Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Ipswich vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+70.8%+$17.69
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$48.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$45.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+100%+$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+224.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+259.7%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$33.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+47.1%+$37.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.