Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d717e22636ceff3802b4d30789c44482ed8e7e2b45f86ba89ca36efda85f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 27c | 4,092$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 2,519$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 1,877$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.43 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 70c | 1,374$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.49 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 14c | 1,006$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 28c | 969.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 10c | 553.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 552$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 482.37$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 366.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 309$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…f01fbacked Yes | 27c | 269.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 250.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Yes | 39c | 217.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed No | 63c | 215$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 74c | 179.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…df23backed Yes | 67c | 173.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 33c | 153.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…00c3backed No | 74c | 72.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…c40abacked No | 74c | 65.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…7a9abacked No | 74c | 65.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…4cb1backed No | 74c | 63.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…dc09backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 73c | 28.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…84b8backed No | 74c | 25.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 73c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…3dccbacked No | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-26?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.