TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes49c16,754$8,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,265.786854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No51c10,935$5,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.053551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes1c6,350$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.463333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c6,285$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.5732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No50c5,779$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.723548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes21c2,888$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5714732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Yes51c2,205$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes51c1,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No49c1,582$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.6240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No59c1,319$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8915347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No50c998.8$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Yes50c994.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c988.8$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes51c787.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No51c750$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…0afabacked Yes39c700$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c458.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed No51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No51c340.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No51c295.53$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.819238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1239858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.517447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No52c216.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes49c204.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddf…003ebacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41f…a6babacked Yes50c104.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd318…43d0backed No53c101.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…f01fbacked Yes50c98.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes51c96.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.375747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes49c92.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.384131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Yes26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…041fbacked No53c85.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b6…ddd5backed No53c78.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…bcd1backed Yes50c73.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9415…cb92backed Yes50c65.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…4072backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26a1…eeafbacked Yes46c54.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…9aedbacked Yes46c54.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked No50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Yes50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9d8…52d7backed Yes48c46.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac5…5371backed No51c46.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0607…f911backed No52c44.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5205…2ef4backed Yes50c44.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee9…32f4backed No50c44.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe038…4787backed Yes50c44.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe444…a24dbacked No53c44.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02d…1ed1backed No54c43.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab70…4b6cbacked Yes46c43.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83e8…e2ccbacked Yes46c43.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3e…3bd2backed Yes50c42.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…c70cbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…3e64backed No54c41.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…a56fbacked No54c41.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Yes49c40.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…42d7backed Yes46c40.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73e…12eebacked No54c40.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…5476backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5947…1805backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c5…7550backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d4…dc09backed Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc196…b9cbbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x106a…7337backed Yes48c39.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a81…375fbacked No52c39.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001b…e8d6backed Yes49c39.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a9…83febacked No52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfc…f536backed No52c38.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…531ebacked No51c37.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…7ea1backed No52c37.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb3…b3febacked No52c36.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8dc…ce7bbacked Yes49c36.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa548…1b39backed No52c36.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…66f3backed Yes49c36.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa674…9df1backed No51c36.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dd…40a0backed Yes47c36.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52b…97c1backed Yes47c35.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b98…6a00backed Yes49c35.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd9…8c2cbacked Yes48c34.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b9…af3dbacked Yes47c34.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…3d3cbacked Yes46c34.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…a8bdbacked Yes45c34.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a14…e9aabacked No55c34.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e8…c353backed No54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4f…00cebacked Yes48c32.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…b7acbacked No52c32.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.