TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe756…c70c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+26.2%+$10.46
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+31.9%+$12.76
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+148.8%+$52.61
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.72
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.75
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+40.9%+$8.17
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+31.7%+$15.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.42
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+100%+$35.4
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.72
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$32.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$34.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+32.3%+$32.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.