TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c16,155$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,530.1779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No43c15,145$6,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.7814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No41c14,964$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.1240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b57…0518backed No0c12,339$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d7…ea21backed No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes58c9,742$5,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.3932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes59c9,370$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No24c9,361$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.914732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbea…f6fbbacked Yes57c8,153$4,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb5…4f10backed No2c7,700$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12760%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes58c7,347$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.642744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes58c6,552$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes58c3,984$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.4718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes77c3,716$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.112860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes58c3,450$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4491580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No36c2,330$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.0837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes59c2,060$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.461450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No43c1,945$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.463551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c1,867$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.2556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No42c1,779$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.078633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yes58c1,710$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes59c1,693$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.7411548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes60c1,589$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.6518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No41c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No35c1,333$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No43c1,270$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.984252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No42c1,204$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes56c1,202$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5319148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes58c1,098$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No42c1,008$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes58c943.35$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c934.79$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No42c893.98$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes58c831.39$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ff…13acbacked Yes58c771.67$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.232969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No42c757.96$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No42c755.31$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes58c695.29$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes77c649.31$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.922828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No45c600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No12c589.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7219743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes58c505.61$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.363828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed No23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No42c488.64$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes62c474.33$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.945633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No42c452$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.848047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No42c423.93$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No44c354.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes59c350.22$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.225740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes59c350$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed Yes78c347.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8325637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes58c344.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.648045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No44c344.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes59c340.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.685349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No43c329.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.842937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes60c322.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.052060%12 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes58c319.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.13944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe468…926ebacked Yes79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.466100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f0e…26afbacked Yes79c290.08$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes59c285.36$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked No29c271.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+112.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes70c258.06$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes58c258$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.363959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes59c256.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.13345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed Yes59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No24c249.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked No41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No41c242$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.227159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a4…7069backed No43c231.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes58c230$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.67934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No44c219.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.785650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No30c209.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7634251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.993348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes59c180.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.498149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Yes58c172.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.442433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecc4…9fc3backed Yes78c168.67$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes75c168.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes77c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf145…8ca2backed Yes70c153.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…ac84backed No42c152.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6176…79e9backed Yes73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed No44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.944645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4e…2111backed No44c146.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc394…3f3bbacked No44c144.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c1…4f03backed Yes62c143.23$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes61c143$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes58c132.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.895257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.